Climate Engineering: Modelling projections over simplify risks

Climate Engineering: Modelling Projections Oversimplify Risks

The focus of the paper lies on the models underpinning the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports - the first port‐of‐call for mapping combinations of technologies, alternative pathways of deployment, and climatic impacts. The authors show how modelling of solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal technologies tends toward "best-case projections".

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Climate Engineering: Modelling Projections Oversimplify Risks

IPCC models tend towards best case scenarios

Models are not neutral, they are based on chosen assumptions

Models cannot be used to create policies without understanding their limits or the assumptions used to build them