Hi, I'm Xavier Auclert

    Harvard's Solar Geoengineering Research Program

    What?

    https://geoengineering.environment.harvard.edu/geoengineering

    Summary

    • Research lacks support, political
    • US vs. China points of view: see the same science / have different goals
    • Can it be used as a weapon? No

    Notes

    • Clear that geoeng is not an alternative to mitigation and adaptation
    • "When used in moderation" and combined with emission cuts, has the potential to reduce worst impacts of climate change: models shows. Even better than stopping all emissions tomorrow.
    🤔
    Point on the "moderation" ... we don't need to go full blown
    • https://geoengineering.environment.harvard.edu/files/sgrp/files/felgenhauer_et_al_2021.pdf?m=1623159807
      • There is not lobbying group in US instutions to support Solar Geoeng today. But there is potential to form one
    • https://geoengineering.environment.harvard.edu/files/sgrp/files/s41599-020-00694-6_1.pdf?m=1620412697
      • <0.3% of climate science budgets on Solar Geoeng in 2018
      • China and US experts have similar views but differ in Governance proposals and desired climate scenarios (lower RF in US vs. China)
      • Geoengineering experts push for more geoengineering than Climate experts
      • 🤔
        They see the same science. But have different goals already. Use this
    • Can Geoeng be used as a weapon?
      • https://geoengineering.environment.harvard.edu/publications/can-solar-geoengineering-be-used-weapon
      • Basis for doing research: it has the potential to reduce risks for the world's poorest
      • Fear linked to interest of military to modify climate (ex. Vietnam)
      • There are comparisons being made with nuclear weapons: it could be used to wage war / Need for a global governance etc.
      • This is grossly overstated / ît cannot be a useful weapon
        • Weapons need to be precise (space, time and effect). Geoengineering is not
        • Stratospheric aerosol injection: there are only a few knobs (latitude) ... but it will disperse accross the athmosphere / at least in the same emisphere
        • Only climate effects could be generated ... not weather effects. There is then a long chain between climate effect and climate impact
        • There is no physical basis for targeting specific impacts at specific countries
      • Other local techs (marine cloud brightening ...)
        • Would be very difficult to produce long term local effects
        • Effects will have consequences in other parts of the globe
        • Conceivable that it could be used for limited weather control, but still military value would be low
      • Weaponisation is science fiction: low earth orbiting sunshades for example
      • This is a theoretical problem, not real world problem. It is distracting. This is why it is not mentioned in any reports
    🤔
    this doesn't mean it can't create a threat to peace. Ex. one countries does regional engineering ... which leads to changes globaly and triggers a war.
    • Space based solar geoengineering
      • https://geoengineering.environment.harvard.edu/blog/reflections-meeting-about-space-based-solar-geoengineering